Ag Weather Forum

Hundreds of ocean weather and climate monitors are being taken out of the North Pacific and North Atlantic.

Severe weather has been intense and frequent across the Midwest over the last 10 days. That continues on Wednesday with a big event forecast.

A tropical low-pressure center in south Texas may become the Atlantic's first-named tropical system of the 2026 season. But even if it doesn't, it will produce heavy rain near the coast that could lead to significant flooding.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration announced on Thursday, June 11, that El Nino conditions have arrived in the tropical Pacific Ocean. A continued rise in sea surface temperatures is expected through winter 2026-27.

Late summer 2025 through spring 2026 was the sixth driest on record in the Lower 48 states.

Multiple systems moving through the country have the opportunity to produce significant severe weather each day through at least Saturday.

We have seen some spots in the Midwest get a little too dry lately; but those same areas should anticipate some potential heavy rainfall during the next week or so.

Australia SOI value shows 2026 compares favorably to recent analog strong El Nino years.

Though it has been very wet in a lot of areas lately, a drier pattern is setting up during the next two weeks across large portions of the Midwest and Southeast.

Extreme late spring-early summer heat in Europe is becoming more frequent.

Heavy rainfall will help ease many areas of drought across the U.S. through the end of May.

The U.S. Drought Monitor uses multiple factors beyond rainfall to classify drought intensity, but has limitations including lagging indicators, data gaps, and human authoring biases.

Soil moisture stands to offer both short- and long-term benefits for row crops.

A major severe weather event is forecast to develop for this afternoon and evening from Texas into the Midwest. Significant hail and damaging winds will be a problem, but another round of strong tornadoes will also be an issue.

Widespread areas of rain and severe weather are forecast through at least next Wednesday. That may include a little snow in pockets of the Northern Plains.

Very warm weather means surface moisture will evaporate before soaking into the soil profile.

The building El Nino, likely to be among the strongest on record, will have widespread weather impacts for much of the globe.

Robust El Nino events are accompanied by generally large U.S. corn production.

Cold temperatures may produce areas of frost across the Northern and Central Plains as well as the Midwest this week.

Sea-surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean continue to rise, crossing the threshold into El Nino territory. Forecasts suggest this year's El Nino could become the strongest on record.